Long-Term Forecast for the U.S. Sheet Metal Market: Size & Share Analysis (2025–2035)

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United States Sheet Metal Industry Set to Expand from USD 68.5 Billion in 2025 to USD 92.1 Billion by 2035 — A Data‑Driven Outlook on Growth, Drivers and Market Dynamics

New York, USA — November 28, 2025 — The U.S. sheet metal industry is on track for a robust decade of growth, with market value projected to rise from USD 68.5 billion in 2025 to USD 92.1 billion by 2035 — an increase of USD 23.6 billion, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.0 %.

This growth is underpinned by sustained demand across key end-use sectors including automotive, construction, industrial manufacturing, and evolving trends such as lightweighting, sustainability initiatives, and advanced fabrication technologies.

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 📊 Key Market Figures & Segmentation

  • 2025 Market Size (USA): USD 68.5 billion

  • 2035 Forecast: USD 92.1 billion

  • Forecast CAGR (2025–2035): 3.0 %

  • Material Share (2025): Carbon steel leads with 52.0 % share

  • Leading End-use Segment (2025): Automotive & Transportation (~38.0 % of total demand)

Between 2025 and 2030, the U.S. sheet metal market value is expected to grow from USD 68.5 billion to USD 78.9 billion, with an absolute increase of USD 10.4 billion (accounting for approximately 44.1 % of the total growth over the 2025–2035 period).

From 2030 to 2035, the market is forecast to expand further from USD 78.9 billion to USD 92.1 billion — adding USD 13.2 billion, or roughly 55.9 % of the total growth for the decade. Growth in this phase is expected to be driven by increased adoption of electric vehicles (EVs), higher demand for advanced alloys, and accelerated sustainability initiatives across manufacturing sectors.

🔧 What’s Driving Growth

• Automotive & Transportation: The Unwavering Engine

The automotive sector remains the backbone of U.S. sheet metal demand. High-volume production of vehicles, including the accelerating shift toward electric vehicles, places a premium on lightweight, high‑strength metals — a structural sweet spot for sheet metal. The 38 % share in 2025 underscores its pivotal role.

As regulatory pressure mounts for improved fuel efficiency and emissions reduction, automakers are increasingly relying on advanced high-strength carbon steel and specialty alloys — further boosting demand. Furthermore, modern EV and autonomous‑vehicle platforms require more complex components and enclosures, prompting sheet metal suppliers to upgrade manufacturing capabilities.

• Construction & Infrastructure Revamp

Beyond automotive, robust construction and infrastructure investment across the U.S. — especially in commercial development, public works, industrial facilities, and housing — are supporting consistent sheet metal demand. Carbon steel remains the material of choice for structural applications, giving the 52 % material share reported for 2025 additional relevance.

• Manufacturing Resurgence & Industrial Equipment

Industrial manufacturing — including heavy machinery, precision equipment, HVAC systems, industrial enclosures, and metalwork for energy and utilities — continues to rely on sheet metal for structural integrity, durability, and fabrication flexibility. As manufacturing output recovers from earlier disruptions, demand for sheet metal is rising in tandem.

• Technology & Material Innovation

The industry is seeing a steady shift toward advanced materials and fabrication methods:

  • The strong dominance of carbon steel is likely to be complemented by rising interest in engineered high-strength steels, specialty alloys, and lighter-weight alternatives like aluminum and stainless steel.

  • Digitalization, automation, and Industry 4.0–driven manufacturing — including CNC, robotics, and smart fabrication lines — are improving throughput, precision, and cost efficiency. These trends make sheet metal parts more competitive compared to cast or composite alternatives, particularly in sectors with tight tolerance and quality requirements.

  • Sustainability and circular‑economy pressures are influencing raw-material sourcing, processing, and end-of-life reuse/recycling — pushing sheet-metal producers to adapt greener production practices and explore sustainable alloys.

⚠️ Challenges & Market Headwinds

  • Raw material price volatility: Fluctuations in global steel and alloy prices could impact margins for sheet metal producers and lead to periodic slowdowns.

  • Supply-chain & trade uncertainties: Tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and import/export policy changes may affect the cost of imported inputs and the competitiveness of U.S.-based manufacturing.

  • Competition from alternative materials: In certain applications — especially in aerospace, electronics, and high‑end construction — lightweight composites or specialized alloys (e.g., aluminum, titanium) may erode some demand from traditional carbon steel sheet metal.

  • Regulatory and environmental pressures: As sustainability mandates rise — including stricter emissions, waste, and recycling norms — producers may face rising compliance costs and need to invest in green technologies, which could raise production costs.

🧑‍🤝‍🧑 What This Means for Stakeholders

  • Manufacturers and suppliers: The next decade offers a critical window of opportunity — upgrading capacity, embracing automation, investing in alloy diversification, and adopting sustainable practices will be essential to gain competitive advantage.

  • Automotive OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers): Strong supply availability and predictable growth in sheet metal production make it easier to plan EV and next-gen vehicle platforms, especially those requiring high-strength steel or mixed metal architectures.

  • Construction & infrastructure developers: The forecasted growth in sheet metal supply supports expanding construction, renovation, and public infrastructure projects, with stable material availability and diversified material options.

  • Investors and strategic buyers: With a projected growth of ~34 % over 10 years (USD 23.6 billion), the U.S. sheet metal market remains a promising area for strategic investments — particularly for firms focusing on advanced metallurgy, fabrication automation, or sustainable production.

  • Policy makers & regulators: Anticipated growth in demand provides a basis for supportive industrial policy, especially if aligned with sustainability goals and domestic manufacturing revival efforts.

✅ Conclusion

The U.S. sheet metal industry is entering a period of stable — and structurally supported — growth, with demand forecast to rise from USD 68.5 billion in 2025 to USD 92.1 billion by 2035. The growth reflects strong fundamentals: robust demand from automotive and construction sectors, continued manufacturing resurgence, and evolving technological and sustainability trends that favor diversified and high-performance materials.

Stakeholders across the value chain — from steel producers and sheet metal fabricators to auto OEMs, construction firms, investors, and policymakers — have a clear roadmap: prioritize capacity expansion, embrace technological innovation, diversify material portfolio, and integrate sustainable practices. Firms that act early stand to capture significant value over the next decade.

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